Market odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October fell from 51% to 19% within a week, driven by weaker-than-expected September jobs data showing slower payroll growth and a slight rise in unemployment. Fed officials indicated no urgent need for immediate action, shifting market expectations toward a delayed hike, likely in December. This shift benefits stocks in the short term but leaves long-term Treasury bonds vulnerable due to ongoing inflation and supply risks. Investors await upcoming inflation data for clearer guidance on future Fed moves.
Following the drop in October rate-hike odds, long-term Treasury bonds are showing signs of pressure. On Pluang, the iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) trades at USD 76.91, down 0.48% as of Oct 07, 2026 22:42 WIB. The market cap stands at $47.36 billion, with 91% of order activity leaning toward selling, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors regarding bond prospects amid the changing Fed outlook.
The surge in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields has made dividend stocks less attractive, causing declines in sectors like real estate, utilities, and materials that many seniors rely on for income. Experts advise against abandoning dividend stocks or chas...
The US Treasury is auctioning $119 billion in long-term debt this week at yields not seen since 2002, with three auctions for three-year, ten-year, and thirty-year bonds. Rising yields reflect higher borrowing costs driven by persistent inflation and...
