Kalshi's prediction market shows a 21% chance that the U.S. Treasury will buy bitcoin before January 1, 2028, while the odds for a purchase in 2026 are only 2%. However, trading volume is very low, with just about 1,600 contracts traded across both deadlines, meaning a few traders can influence prices. The contract only resolves if the Treasury announces a completed bitcoin purchase, not just studies or speeches. The market sees a possible Treasury bitcoin purchase in 2027, but no immediate action is expected. Meanwhile, bitcoin price bets are active, with traders predicting a dip below $77,500 this month. The Treasury currently lacks a clear legal path to buy bitcoin, so the contract's outcome depends on future Congressional action or policy changes.
The US Treasury bitcoin buy odds on Kalshi provide context for cryptocurrency interest, with Pluang market data as of Oct 27, 2026 11:21 WIB showing 31 of 50 major cryptocurrencies rose today. Notable movers include ETC at Rp137.158 with a 2.02% gain and 81% buy order activity, BCH at Rp5.095.488 with a 1.87% rise and 93% buy orders, and SAND at Rp870 up 1.83% with a near-even buy/sell split. The highest buy order activity among these is BCH at 93%.
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