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S&P 500 gains 12.6% YTD, boosted by AI spending but faces inflation and yield risks.

Market News
22 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
S&P 500 gains 12.6% YTD, boosted by AI spending but faces inflation and yield risks.

The S&P 500 has risen 12.6% year-to-date, outperforming typical midterm election years, driven mainly by AI-related spending benefiting major tech firms like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon. Despite a likely post-election rally, challenges such as a 5.1% 10-year Treasury yield, high inflation, and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 19 limit the market's risk premium. Defense and managed care sectors also show strength. The outlook remains positive for the next 12 months, but investors should watch for volatility and changes in the 10-year yield as key factors.

The article highlights a potential rally in stocks if Trump loses Congress, while on Pluang, Nvidia trades at USD 214.43 with a 3.35% decline as of Oct 22, 2026 21:32 WIB. Microsoft is priced at USD 523.10, down 1.85% on the same date and time. Amazon also shows a 4.00% drop, trading at USD 251.88, reflecting some short-term selling pressure despite the broader positive outlook.

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