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Lumentum sees record AI-driven demand but growth limited by production capacity bottlenecks.

Analyst Insights
26 Oct 2026, 20:22 WIB
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
Lumentum sees record AI-driven demand but growth limited by production capacity bottlenecks.

Lumentum is experiencing unprecedented demand fueled by AI-driven compute growth and its strong position in advanced lasers. However, its expansion is constrained by limited indium phosphide fabrication capacity. Management aims for $40 adjusted EPS by 2028, relying heavily on expanding optical communication solutions (OCS), which carry competitive risks. The current stock valuation assumes perfect execution and aggressive capacity increases, leading to a Hold rating due to limited upside for new investors.

Lumentum's stock on Pluang trades at USD 834.16 as of Oct 27, 2026 00:42 WIB, showing a strong 10.31% gain in one day. The company holds a market cap of $68.50 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the technology sector. Despite the recent surge, the stock remains below its 52-week high of $1.13K, indicating room for volatility.

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