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Rocket Lab upgraded to Buy on strong assets and Iridium deal; AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell amid delays and risks

Analyst Insights
22 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
Rocket Lab upgraded to Buy on strong assets and Iridium deal; AST SpaceMobile remains a Sell amid delays and risks

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) has been upgraded to a Buy rating due to its structural advantage of owning both launch and satellite assets, further boosted by its acquisition of Iridium, which is expected to bring immediate positive EBITDA. Meanwhile, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) remains a Sell because of execution risks tied to delayed satellite deployments and ongoing downward revenue revisions. RKLB's near-term focus is on bookings, backlog, and progress with its Neutron rocket, while ASTS needs to show concrete launch progress to avoid further cuts in estimates. This upgrade reflects confidence in RKLB's growth potential and caution over ASTS's operational challenges.

As of Oct 23, 2026 02:11 WIB, Rocket Lab (RKLB) trades at USD 50.30 on Pluang, down 6.25% in one day, with a market cap of $34.32 billion and a strong buy interest at 68% of orders. AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is priced at USD 37.97, down 7.18% for the day, with a market cap of $12.26 billion and an even higher buy order share of 92%. Despite the downgrade risks for ASTS noted in the article, it remains highly favored by Pluang investors, while RKLB shows notable market value and active trading volume as of the timestamp.

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