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SpaceX's AI computing drives 161% revenue surge but cash flow and profitability remain uncertain, prompting a HOLD rating.

Market News
28 Oct 2026, 10:01 WIB
Seeking Alpha
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Neutral
SpaceX's AI computing drives 161% revenue surge but cash flow and profitability remain uncertain, prompting a HOLD rating.

SpaceX's Q3 revenue jumped 161.4% to $14.575 billion, mainly fueled by its AI computing segment becoming the largest revenue source. Despite this growth, the company faces challenges with negative free cash flow and high capital expenditures exceeding operating cash generation. Valuation is high at 37.1 times annualized Q3 sales, and further upgrades depend on sustained quarterly revenue above $37 billion and improved cash flow or margins. Key risks include uncertain utilization rates, short-term contracts, and capital intensity, leading analysts to recommend holding shares until profitability from AI infrastructure investments is clearer.

As of Oct 28, 2026 14:11 WIB, SpaceX shares trade at USD 150.15 on Pluang, up 1.06% for the day. The stock sees balanced investor interest with 53% buy orders and 47% sell orders, reflecting cautious optimism. SpaceX's market cap stands at $2.00 trillion, underscoring its significant scale amid ongoing challenges in cash flow and capital expenditure.

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