Market eyes possible rate hike in December, risking a double-digit correction despite July CPI easing fears.

The market anticipates a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year, likely in December, which could trigger a double-digit correction in broader markets. The S&P 500 is seen as fragile above the 8,000 level, with short-term rallies possible but longer-term sustainability doubtful without strong earnings growth. July's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data aligned with expectations, supporting momentum stocks, especially in semiconductors. However, overall market confidence remains cautious, awaiting further developments such as a fragile deal on Hormuz and the impact of frontier AI labs on earnings growth.