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Market eyes possible rate hike in December, risking a double-digit correction despite July CPI easing fears.

Market News
13 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
Market eyes possible rate hike in December, risking a double-digit correction despite July CPI easing fears.

The market anticipates a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year, likely in December, which could trigger a double-digit correction in broader markets. The S&P 500 is seen as fragile above the 8,000 level, with short-term rallies possible but longer-term sustainability doubtful without strong earnings growth. July's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data aligned with expectations, supporting momentum stocks, especially in semiconductors. However, overall market confidence remains cautious, awaiting further developments such as a fragile deal on Hormuz and the impact of frontier AI labs on earnings growth.

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF faces pressure from weak September, fading buybacks, and rising inflation risks.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF faces pressure from weak September, fading buybacks, and rising inflation risks.

The State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is experiencing weakness amid a historically poor September performance and a decline in stock buyback activity after September 12. Rising inflation, energy prices, and anticipated Federal Reserve rate hi...

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S&P 500 dividend yield near 1%, buybacks and retained earnings now key for shareholder returns

S&P 500 dividend yield near 1%, buybacks and retained earnings now key for shareholder returns

The S&P 500 dividend yield is currently around 1%, reflecting historically low payout levels. Companies in the index increasingly favor share buybacks and retaining earnings over paying dividends, following a philosophy popularized by Warren Buffett ...

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1 day ago
Memory chip stocks rise as Goldman Sachs says sector's worst downturn may be over.

Memory chip stocks rise as Goldman Sachs says sector's worst downturn may be over.

Memory chip stocks including SK Hynix, Micron, and SanDisk rose after Goldman Sachs turned bullish, suggesting the worst of the sector's downturn might be behind. The rally comes amid improved technical signals, lighter hedge fund positioning, and ex...

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S&P 500 set to rebound with 8,000 target despite rising rates, driven by strong earnings growth.

S&P 500 set to rebound with 8,000 target despite rising rates, driven by strong earnings growth.

The S&P 500 is expected to reach 8,000 by year-end despite concerns over rising interest rates. Historical trends show the index typically rebounds 6-12 months after Federal Reserve rate hikes, with an average gain of 12.5% following a 25 basis point...

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Safe bond funds lost money over 5 years, showing cautious investing can be risky for young investors.

Safe bond funds lost money over 5 years, showing cautious investing can be risky for young investors.

Jim Cramer highlights that overly cautious bond investments, like the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), have lost about 17% over five years due to rising yields and Federal Reserve tightening. Meanwhile, equities like the S&P 500 ETF gained...

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