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Fed raises rates to 3.75-4%, S&P 500 priced for policy clash but earnings stay strong

Market News
17 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
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Neutral
Fed raises rates to 3.75-4%, S&P 500 priced for policy clash but earnings stay strong

The Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by 0.25% to 3.75-4%, marking the first hike since July 2023 amid a backdrop of restrictive monetary policy and supportive fiscal measures. This higher-for-longer rate outlook, with no cuts expected through 2027, creates tension impacting trust in the USD and US economy. Despite potential further tightening due to fiscal stimulus and energy shocks, S&P 500 earnings remain resilient, and the market has largely priced in these policy conflicts at about 19x forward P/E. The author remains fully invested in equities, viewing them as better than bonds in a trust crisis, and would consider adding on an 8% market correction.

The Federal Reserve's recent 0.25% rate hike and its impact on the S&P 500 provide context for Pluang's Financials-sector snapshot. For readers following Financials, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Sep 17, 2026 19:12 WIB: out of 74 priced US Financial stocks, 67 rose and 5 fell. Among movers, SOFI rose 2.26% to USD 17.22 with 86% of orders selling, LMND gained 2.18% at USD 49.63 with a typical hold time of 26 days, while BX increased 2.06% to USD 125.99 with 100% buy orders and a 95-day hold time.

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