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Commvault shares drop 31% after missing new ARR forecast despite strong SaaS growth.

Analyst Insights
02 Jul 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
pluang ai news

Commvault Systems saw its stock price fall 31% in one day after reporting net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $39 million, below management's expectations. The company has been successfully transitioning to cloud-based SaaS subscriptions, with recurring revenue up 21% year-over-year and SaaS revenue exceeding $400 million, which has improved margins. Accounting changes will increase subscription revenue visibility to 82% of total revenue, potentially supporting a higher valuation. However, risks include convertible bond dilution, rising competition, and a decline in SaaS Net Revenue Retention (NRR) to 122%.

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