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Jerónimo Martins remains a 'BUY' but price target lowered to €18.5 due to slower earnings growth.

Analyst Insights
13 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
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Neutral
Jerónimo Martins remains a 'BUY' but price target lowered to €18.5 due to slower earnings growth.

Jerónimo Martins, a Portugal-based grocer with strong Polish market exposure, is still rated as a 'BUY' at €17.9 per share. However, the price target has been lowered to €18.5 due to slower-than-expected earnings growth despite operational improvements like margin recovery and strong volume growth in key segments. Earnings per share remain weak due to deflation and high capital expenditures. The valuation now assumes normalized earnings of €1.25 per share with a fair price-to-earnings ratio of 14–14.5x, reflecting increased forecast uncertainty. The stock offers an attractive risk/reward profile below €16 per share but upside potential is more moderate and depends on operational improvements.

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