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US auto industry faces uncertainty as USMCA trade deal nears expiration without extension.

Market News
01 Jul 2026
CNBC
View Source
Bearish
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The US automotive industry is entering a phase of uncertainty as the USMCA trade agreement between the US, Mexico, and Canada is unlikely to be extended by the deadline, triggering a review process or possible expiration by 2036. The deal, which governs $2 trillion in trade annually and covers about 18% of US trade with its neighbors, is critical for the auto sector. Key issues include stricter rules of origin requiring higher US content in vehicles, which could increase costs and disrupt supply chains. Automakers urge a trilateral agreement to maintain trade stability and investments, while negotiations may extend into the fall amid concerns over tariffs and broader political issues complicating talks.

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Ford CEO urges fair USMCA trade terms favoring domestic automakers over import-reliant rivals

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