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IEA cuts 2026 global oil supply forecast by 6% amid Iran war and demand drop

Market News
11 Sep 2026
CNBC
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Bearish
IEA cuts 2026 global oil supply forecast by 6% amid Iran war and demand drop

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has lowered its 2026 global oil supply forecast by 6%, expecting a decline of 5.7 million barrels per day compared to 2025, due to ongoing conflict in Iran delaying Middle East oil flows. It also revised down global oil demand for 2023, now predicting a drop of 2.5 million barrels per day, worsened by geopolitical tensions including attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and the Yemen conflict. The IEA warns that shrinking inventories and strained refining capacity could tighten markets further, emphasizing the need for diplomatic progress to avoid worsening supply constraints and demand destruction. Oil prices remain volatile, with benchmarks near $100 per barrel amid these tensions.

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