
Bitcoin is trading around $78,127, showing optimism to surpass $80,000 despite underperforming compared to previous cycles since 2012. The 2024 cycle has seen less volatility and smaller price gains, influenced by factors like the Spot Bitcoin ETF launch, Fed rate uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory changes. On-chain metrics show mixed sentiment with bearish traders dominating but some signs of small profits and neutral fear-greed index hinting at potential bullish momentum. However, demand remains fragile, leaving the full bull cycle uncertain.