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Bitcoin's next big rally may need over $1 trillion in new capital amid declining returns per dollar invested.

Market News
04 Jul 2026
Coindesk
View Source
Neutral
pluang ai news

Bitcoin's capital efficiency has sharply declined, with each bull cycle requiring exponentially more money for smaller percentage gains. This cycle has seen about $697 billion in new capital generating a 689% gain, far less than earlier cycles with smaller capital inflows but much higher returns. Analysts suggest another major rally would need over $1 trillion in fresh institutional investment, but recent ETF outflows and bitcoin's large market size raise doubts about this happening soon. The trend reflects bitcoin's growth and the challenge of attracting enough institutional money to fuel another parabolic run.

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