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Prediction markets favor Anthropic to IPO before OpenAI, but financials show a complex readiness picture.

Market News
14 Sep 2026
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Prediction markets favor Anthropic to IPO before OpenAI, but financials show a complex readiness picture.

Prediction market Kalshi shows 93% betting that Anthropic will go public before OpenAI, a shift from earlier tied predictions. Anthropic is reportedly profitable for two consecutive quarters and has a higher revenue run rate ($65 billion) compared to OpenAI's $40 billion in 2026. However, OpenAI's losses are linked to heavy investment in AI infrastructure, with relatively low capital spending and no debt. Business customer growth is also shifting, with OpenAI gaining ground. The market sentiment may not fully reflect the nuanced financial realities of both companies' IPO readiness.

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