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Tesla's future hinges on Full Self-Driving software growth, with a modest 4% stock upside forecast.

Analyst Insights
25 Aug 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Neutral
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Tesla's key growth driver is its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, which now attaches to 55% of Q2 North American deliveries and has nearly 1.5 million paid subscribers globally. Despite record vehicle deliveries and revenue growth, Tesla's operating margin fell sharply to 1.4%, and free cash flow turned negative due to rising expenses. The stock is rated a hold with a price target of $377.78, reflecting modest upside of 4.11% from current levels. Bullish cases focus on Tesla's potential as an AI and robotics platform, including Robotaxi and Optimus projects, while bearish views highlight high valuation and thin margins. Future gains depend on scaling autonomy and improving profitability.

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