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AerCap downgraded to buy as shares rise, but strong cash flow and asset sales support value

Analyst Insights
05 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
AerCap downgraded to buy as shares rise, but strong cash flow and asset sales support value

AerCap shares have risen from $132.87 to about $155, prompting a downgrade from strong buy to buy due to reduced upside potential. However, the company remains attractive because of its robust cash flow, consistent asset sales above carrying value, and disciplined capital management. The 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $16.80, possibly conservative, with potential actual EPS reaching $18.25–$18.50 thanks to asset-sale gains. The stock trades at 1.30 times book value, with a base price target of $171.64 and a bull case of $179.09, driven by flight equipment revaluation and favorable supply-demand dynamics.

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