Upstart Holdings Inc vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund — how do they compare? Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.01 (market cap $2.63B), while Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund trades at $112.58. The key difference: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| UPST | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.63B | — |
Sector | Financials | — |
52-Week High | $68.11 | $124.52 |
52-Week Low | $24.22 | $105.64 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
XLY trades at $113.99, down 0.8% on the day, with technical indicators showing a bearish trend as moving averages signal strong selling pressure. The ETF maintains 100% analyst buy ratings, reflecting confidence in consumer discretionary exposure despite current market weakness. Recent news highlights XLY as a potential sleeper opportunity for Q3 2026, with consumer spending trends supporting the sector's long-term prospects.
The outlook remains constructive given unanimous analyst support and consumer resilience, though technical weakness and sector concentration risks require monitoring. Upside potential exists if consumer discretionary spending accelerates, while economic slowdowns could pressure performance.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes securities of companies from the following industries: retail; hotels, restaurants and leisure; textiles, apparel and luxury goods; household durables; automobiles; auto components; distributors; leisure products; and diversified consumer services. It is non-diversified.
Read more on XLY →