Upstart Holdings Inc vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund — how do they compare? Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $24.1 (market cap $2.35B), while Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund trades at $112.76 (market cap $21.89B). The key difference: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is far larger — about 9.3× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals — on Pluang, investors hold Upstart Holdings Inc for 39 Days and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund for 114 Days on average.
| UPST | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.35B | $21.89B |
Volume | 4,203,337 | 5,690,342 |
Sector | Financials | — |
52-Week High | $52.74 | $124.52 |
52-Week Low | $22.81 | $105.64 |
Typical Hold Time | 39 Days | 114 Days |
Enterprise Value | $3.88B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Upstart Holdings trades at $24.24, up 0.9% with a bearish technical signal despite recent earnings misses. The company achieved profitability in 2025 with $1.02B revenue and $53.6M net income, though cash flow from operations remains negative at -$147.7M. Recent news highlights partnership expansions into HELOC and auto lending while the stock faces pressure from broader consumer lending sector weakness.
Upstart's AI lending platform shows revenue growth potential but faces execution risks amid volatile credit markets. Analyst consensus targets $39.50 (63% upside) with mixed ratings, while high P/E of 46.5 suggests premium valuation. The key risk remains the company's loan syndication model during economic downturns.
XLY trades at $112.72, up 1.22% today, with a bullish technical signal despite mixed moving average and oscillator readings. The ETF shows strong analyst support with a 100% buy rating from coverage, though recent underperformance versus consumer staples highlights sector rotation pressures. Key technical levels show support at $110-$111 and resistance at $112-$113, with RSI indicating potential overbought conditions on shorter timeframes.
Outlook remains cautiously optimistic given analyst consensus, but investors face headwinds from inflation pressures on discretionary spending and ongoing underperformance versus broader market. The 'funflation' trend supporting consumer leisure spending provides potential upside, though valuation metrics remain unavailable for comprehensive assessment.
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Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes securities of companies from the following industries: retail; hotels, restaurants and leisure; textiles, apparel and luxury goods; household durables; automobiles; auto components; distributors; leisure products; and diversified consumer services. It is non-diversified.
Read more on XLY →