Upstart Holdings Inc vs Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund — how do they compare? Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.07 (market cap $2.63B), while Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund trades at $57.29. The key difference: Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| UPST | XLF | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.63B | — |
Sector | Financials | — |
52-Week High | $68.11 | $58.55 |
52-Week Low | $24.22 | $47.80 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
XLF, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund, trades at $57.3, down 1.38% over 24 hours. The technical outlook is neutral overall, with bullish moving averages but neutral oscillators, and key support at $57. Recent news highlights consolidation amid shifting interest rate expectations and fund manager rotation into financials in Q2 2026. The ETF offers exposure to 76 large-cap U.S. financial firms with a low expense ratio of 0.08%.
The outlook for XLF is balanced. Potential upside exists from rising interest rates benefiting banks and institutional inflows, but risks include economic sensitivity and sector volatility. The neutral technical and sentiment signals suggest a wait-and-see approach, with the dividend providing modest income.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes securities of companies from the following industries: diversified financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; consumer finance; thrifts; and mortgage finance. The fund is non-diversified.
Read more on XLF →