Upstart Holdings Inc vs Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF — how do they compare? Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.01 (market cap $2.63B), while Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF trades at $163. The key difference: Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| UPST | VYM | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.63B | — |
Sector | Financials | — |
52-Week High | $68.11 | $167.03 |
52-Week Low | $24.22 | $137.47 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
VYM trades at $163.52, down 0.43% with a bearish technical signal from moving averages while oscillators remain neutral. The ETF's forward P/E ratio of 18.85x provides a valuation advantage over SPY, with financial sector exposure potentially benefiting from rising Treasury yields. Recent analysis highlights strong 16% YTD total return and lower volatility compared to the broader market.
The outlook remains cautiously optimistic given VYM's valuation discount and dividend stability, though technical weakness and yield compression to 2.20-2.22% present near-term headwinds. Key risks include sector concentration in financials and market sensitivity to interest rate changes, while institutional sentiment appears balanced between yield appeal and growth concerns.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →The advisor employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which consists of common stocks of companies that pay dividends that generally are higher than average. The advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of the fund's assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index.
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