Tractor Supply Co vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Tractor Supply Co trades at $29.65 (market cap $15.89B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.37 (market cap $2.76B). The key difference: Tractor Supply Co is far larger — about 5.8× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Tractor Supply Co pays a 3.17% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TSCO | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $15.89B | $2.76B |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Financials |
52-Week High | $62.65 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $29.14 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $22.08B | — |
Dividend Yield | 3.17% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Tractor Supply (TSCO) trades at $29.64, down 2.85% today, with a bearish technical outlook but solid fundamentals including 36.4% gross margins and 45.5% ROE. Recent earnings show mixed results with two misses but a strong Q2 expectation of $0.83 EPS. The company maintains stable revenue growth, reaching $15.5B in 2025, and announced a $0.24 dividend for H1-26.
Despite near-term headwinds, TSCO's strong market position and analyst consensus price target of $38.40 suggest 30% upside potential. Risks include consumer discretionary pressure and recent earnings volatility, but the stock's current valuation at 14.9x P/E presents a compelling entry point for long-term investors seeking exposure to the resilient rural lifestyle retail sector.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $29.27, down 0.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but improving fundamentals. The company reported a net income of $53.60 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses. Recent news highlights AI-driven lending growth and a $600 million funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though quarterly earnings have been mixed with a recent miss in Q1 2026.
The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, supported by analyst consensus targets near $42.00 but challenged by volatile cash flows and rising debt. Key risks include execution on new loan products and macroeconomic sensitivity, while institutional sentiment remains divided with a 45% buy rating. Near-term direction hinges on Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,016 of its namesake banners in 49 states and 178 Petsense stores. Stores are typically located in towns outside of urban areas and in rural communities. In fiscal 2021, revenue consisted primarily of livestock and pet (47%), hardware, tools, and truck (21%), and seasonal gift and toy (21%).
Read more on TSCO →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →