Tractor Supply Co vs United States Natural Gas Fund — how do they compare? Tractor Supply Co trades at $33.99 (market cap $18.39B), while United States Natural Gas Fund trades at $10.01. The key difference: Tractor Supply Co pays a 2.72% dividend while United States Natural Gas Fund pays none, and Tractor Supply Co is trading nearer its 52-week high, United States Natural Gas Fund nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TSCO | UNG | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.39B | — |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Commodities - Energy |
52-Week High | $60.61 | $16.90 |
52-Week Low | $29.14 | $9.63 |
Enterprise Value | $24.70B | — |
Dividend Yield | 2.72% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) trades at $35.29, up 0.86% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The stock is supported by strong profitability, including a 39.51% ROE and 6.42% net income margin, though recent quarterly EPS results have missed expectations. Revenue growth remains steady, reaching $15.52B in 2025, while analyst consensus is a Buy with a $36.29 price target. Recent corporate developments include a dividend payment and participation in industry conferences.
The outlook for TSCO is cautiously optimistic, with upside potential near the consensus target, but risks include competitive pressures and cyclical sales headwinds. Investment appeal hinges on execution of strategic initiatives in pet care and logistics, while monitoring margin trends and same-store sales performance is critical for sustained growth.
UNG trades at $10.46, down 0.95% with a bearish technical signal from moving averages. The ETF faces headwinds from high natural gas production and storage levels, though weather-driven demand provides some support. Recent EIA forecasts project record natural gas supply and demand through 2027, creating a mixed fundamental backdrop for this futures-based commodity ETF.
The outlook remains challenged by oversupply concerns, though long-term demand growth from LNG exports and data center power needs offers potential upside. Key risks include commodity price volatility and the structural limitations of futures-based ETFs versus equity-based alternatives like FCG.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,016 of its namesake banners in 49 states and 178 Petsense stores. Stores are typically located in towns outside of urban areas and in rural communities. In fiscal 2021, revenue consisted primarily of livestock and pet (47%), hardware, tools, and truck (21%), and seasonal gift and toy (21%).
Read more on TSCO →UNG is a commodity ETF that tracks the daily price movements of natural gas futures. It primarily invests in front-month contracts at the Henry Hub, making it a highly volatile tool for short-term trading rather than long-term holding due to contango and roll costs.
Read more on UNG →