Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $25.8 (market cap $2.06B), while Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund trades at $112.1 (market cap $21.87B). The key difference: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is far larger — about 10.6× Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares's market cap, and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals — on Pluang, investors hold Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares for 28 Days and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund for 114 Days on average.
| TMF | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.06B | $21.87B |
Volume | 10,528,006 | 6,695,862 |
Sector | Fixed Income | — |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $124.52 |
52-Week Low | $25.19 | $105.64 |
Typical Hold Time | 28 Days | 114 Days |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) trades at $25.23, down 0.51% with elevated trading volume of 5.2 million shares. Technical indicators show a bearish trend with moving averages signaling strong selling pressure, though oversold RSI readings suggest potential for near-term bounce. The ETF saw increased investor interest amid bond market volatility.
As a leveraged Treasury ETF, TMF offers amplified exposure to long-term bond performance but carries significant volatility risk. Current oversold conditions may present tactical opportunities, though the bearish technical structure and interest rate sensitivity require careful risk management for investors seeking directional bond exposure.
XLY trades at $111.36, down 0.35% on the day, with mixed technical signals showing a bullish overall trend but bearish moving averages. The ETF has underperformed the consumer staples sector in 2026, declining over 7% year-to-date. Analyst consensus remains strongly positive with 100% buy ratings, though recent news highlights consumer discretionary sector challenges including inflation pressures and selective spending shifts.
The outlook remains cautiously optimistic given strong analyst support and potential benefits from 'funflation' trends, but persistent underperformance versus the S&P 500 and inflation sensitivity pose near-term headwinds. Key risks include consumer spending volatility and sector rotation pressures that could extend the current lagging performance.
Trailing returns across standard periods
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Latest headlines on both assets
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes securities of companies from the following industries: retail; hotels, restaurants and leisure; textiles, apparel and luxury goods; household durables; automobiles; auto components; distributors; leisure products; and diversified consumer services. It is non-diversified.
Read more on XLY →