Compare Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) vs Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF (VXUS) Price & Performance

TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.

The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.

VXUS trades at $87.21, up 1.03% with strong bullish technical signals from moving averages. The ETF offers broad international diversification with over 8,700 non-U.S. stocks, recently delivering 27.82% total returns over the past year according to Seeking Alpha (August 8, 2026). Institutional interest is growing with multiple firms increasing positions, while analysts highlight its valuation discount to U.S. equities.

The outlook remains positive given international diversification benefits and institutional accumulation, though RSI levels suggest potential near-term consolidation. Key risks include global economic volatility and currency fluctuations. Wall Street sentiment leans bullish with Seeking Alpha maintaining a Buy rating, supported by the ETF's low expense ratio and comprehensive market exposure.