Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $32.33, while Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF trades at $369.41. The key difference: Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | VTI | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | — |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $374.36 |
52-Week Low | $31.85 | $305.74 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $32.66, down 2.07% daily. Technical indicators are bearish overall, with moving averages signaling strong selling pressure, though oscillators are neutral and short-term RSI levels suggest potential oversold conditions. The fund provides 3x daily leveraged exposure to long-term U.S. Treasuries, making it highly sensitive to interest rate movements and unsuitable for long-term holding due to daily leverage reset mechanics.
The outlook for TMF hinges entirely on the direction of long-term bond yields, with potential for sharp gains if rates fall but severe losses if they rise. It represents a high-risk, tactical instrument for short-term traders speculating on Treasury price movements, not a fundamental equity investment. Key risks include volatility decay from daily resets and macroeconomic shifts in monetary policy.
VTI trades at $366.25, down 0.21% on the day, with a bearish technical signal from moving averages and neutral oscillators. The ETF offers broad exposure to the entire U.S. stock market with over 3,500 holdings and a low 0.03% expense ratio. Recent news highlights its role in long-term portfolios and inclusion in new tax-advantaged accounts, emphasizing diversification benefits.
Outlook remains positive for long-term investors due to historical performance and cost efficiency, but near-term risks include market volatility and potential underperformance if large-cap tech stocks weaken. The bearish technical setup suggests caution for short-term traders, while fundamentals support holding for wealth accumulation.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which represents approximately 100% of the investable US stock market and includes large-, mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks. It invests by sampling the index, meaning that it holds a broadly diversified collection of securities that, in the aggregate, approximates the full index in terms of key characteristics.
Read more on VTI →