Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.42, while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.05 (market cap $2.63B). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Financials |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $68.11 |
52-Week Low | $29.83 | $24.22 |
Market Cap | — | $2.63B |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, a leveraged ETF tracking long-term Treasury bonds, trades at $30.85, down 0.13% for the day, with a bearish technical signal driven by moving averages. The stock faces significant long-term erosion, as highlighted by a recent article showing a $10,000 investment five years ago would now be worth about $1,527. Key support lies at $30, with resistance at $31.
The outlook remains challenged by interest rate sensitivity and leverage decay, posing risks for investors seeking Treasury exposure. Opportunities may arise from potential Federal Reserve policy shifts, but volatility and structural ETF risks demand caution.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →