Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs ProShares UltraPro S&P500 — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.91, while ProShares UltraPro S&P500 trades at $153.65. The key difference: ProShares UltraPro S&P500 is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | UPRO | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $155.10 |
52-Week Low | $30.59 | $89.29 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.
The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.
UPRO trades at $155.10, up 1.72% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a neutral oscillator reading. The stock faces resistance near $156 and support at $154, while the RSI indicates potential overbought conditions. Recent news highlights S&P 500 strength, with JPMorgan raising its 2026 target to 8,000, driven by AI-driven earnings growth and robust corporate performance.
The outlook remains positive amid strong market momentum, but risks include overvaluation concerns and sensitivity to economic data. Upside potential hinges on sustained earnings growth, while pullbacks may occur if breadth weakens or inflation fears resurface.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →UPRO is a leveraged ETF that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. It is a tactical, high-conviction instrument designed for short-term traders to amplify bullish market moves, utilizing a daily reset mechanism that creates significant compounding effects and volatility risks over time.
Read more on UPRO →