Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs ProShares UltraPro S&P500 — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $32.34, while ProShares UltraPro S&P500 trades at $141.64. The key difference: ProShares UltraPro S&P500 is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | UPRO | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $150.93 |
52-Week Low | $31.85 | $89.29 |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $32.66, down 2.07% on the day, reflecting a bearish technical trend with moving averages signaling sell pressure. The fund provides 3x daily leveraged exposure to long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, making it highly sensitive to interest rate movements. Recent news highlights its significant long-term decline, with a $10,000 investment five years ago now worth approximately $1,527, underscoring the risks of daily leverage reset in volatile markets.
The outlook for TMF hinges on the direction of long-term bond yields and Federal Reserve policy. While some analysts see potential at the lower end of the trading range, the fund's structure makes it unsuitable for long-term holding due to volatility decay. Key risks include rising interest rates, inflation expectations, and the inherent leverage mechanism that amplifies losses. It remains a high-risk, tactical instrument for short-term traders.
UPRO trades at $138.50, down 0.4% on the day, with a bearish technical signal driven by moving averages. Key support lies at $135, while resistance is at $141. Financial ratios are unavailable, limiting fundamental clarity. Recent news highlights S&P 500 concentration risks and AI-driven market volatility, influencing this leveraged ETF's performance.
The outlook is cautious due to technical weakness and broader market concerns over valuation and tech stock reliance. Risks include market corrections and ETF-specific volatility. Investors should weigh the lack of fundamental data against the leveraged exposure to S&P 500 trends.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →UPRO is a leveraged ETF that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. It is a tactical, high-conviction instrument designed for short-term traders to amplify bullish market moves, utilizing a daily reset mechanism that creates significant compounding effects and volatility risks over time.
Read more on UPRO →