Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Union Pacific Corporation — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.15, while Union Pacific Corporation trades at $285.05 (market cap $171.36B). The key difference: Union Pacific Corporation pays a 1.97% dividend while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares pays none, and Union Pacific Corporation is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | UNP | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Industrials |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $310.62 |
52-Week Low | $29.83 | $214.91 |
Market Cap | — | $171.36B |
Enterprise Value | — | $200.42B |
Dividend Yield | — | 1.97% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, a leveraged ETF tracking long-term Treasury bonds, trades at $30.85, down 0.13% for the day, with a bearish technical signal driven by moving averages. The stock faces significant long-term erosion, as highlighted by a recent article showing a $10,000 investment five years ago would now be worth about $1,527. Key support lies at $30, with resistance at $31.
The outlook remains challenged by interest rate sensitivity and leverage decay, posing risks for investors seeking Treasury exposure. Opportunities may arise from potential Federal Reserve policy shifts, but volatility and structural ETF risks demand caution.
Union Pacific (UNP) trades at $288.45, down 0.4% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but strong fundamentals including a 28.85% net income margin and robust cash flow. Recent earnings beats in Q1 and Q2 2026, coupled with a pending Norfolk Southern merger expected to close by late 2027, highlight growth potential. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $334.33, indicating 16% upside.
The outlook is positive due to solid profitability and merger prospects, but risks include regulatory hurdles for the merger and economic sensitivity. Analysts are predominantly bullish (58.7% buy ratings), though technical indicators suggest near-term caution with support at $287.
Trailing returns across standard periods
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two thirds of the U.S., UP generated roughly $22 billion of revenue in 2021 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agriculture goods, chemicals, and automotive goods. UP owns about one fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and derives about 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.
Read more on UNP →