Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares vs Tractor Supply Co — how do they compare? Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.94, while Tractor Supply Co trades at $35.43 (market cap $18.05B). The key difference: Tractor Supply Co pays a 2.77% dividend while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares pays none, and Tractor Supply Co is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TMF | TSCO | |
|---|---|---|
Sector | Leveraged / Inverse | Consumer Cyclical |
52-Week High | $44.14 | $62.65 |
52-Week Low | $30.59 | $29.14 |
Market Cap | — | $18.05B |
Enterprise Value | — | $24.36B |
Dividend Yield | — | 2.77% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.
The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.
TSCO trades at $34.56, up 1.38% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages but overbought RSI readings. Recent earnings misses and a lowered 2026 outlook reflect cyclical headwinds, though the stock remains supported by a 48% buy rating from analysts and a $36.29 consensus price target. Cash flow from operations remains strong at $1.64B for 2025, but net cash flow was negative due to investments and financing activities.
The outlook is mixed: valuation reset and insider buying signal confidence, but weak discretionary demand and cost pressures pose near-term risks. Long-term opportunities exist from digital growth and pet initiatives, yet investors face volatility from earnings uncertainty and macroeconomic sensitivity.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,016 of its namesake banners in 49 states and 178 Petsense stores. Stores are typically located in towns outside of urban areas and in rural communities. In fiscal 2021, revenue consisted primarily of livestock and pet (47%), hardware, tools, and truck (21%), and seasonal gift and toy (21%).
Read more on TSCO →