Toronto-Dominion Bank vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Toronto-Dominion Bank trades at $119.29 (market cap $197.22B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.07 (market cap $2.63B). The key difference: Toronto-Dominion Bank is far larger — about 75× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Toronto-Dominion Bank pays a 2.69% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| TD | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $197.22B | $2.63B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $124.80 | $68.11 |
52-Week Low | $75.86 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 2.69% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
TD trades at $120.52, down 0.91% on the day, with a neutral technical signal. The company reported strong Q3 2026 earnings of $2.74 EPS, beating estimates, driven by capital markets performance and cost controls. Revenue growth continues with 2025 revenue reaching $61.28B and net income margin of 33.51%. Analyst consensus is bullish with 9 buy ratings and no sell recommendations.
TD presents a compelling investment case with consistent earnings beats and strong profitability metrics. However, investors should monitor the volatile cash flow patterns and rising debt-to-asset ratio, which increased to 22.1 in 2024. The stock's current valuation at 17.85 P/E appears reasonable given the company's growth trajectory and dividend yield.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Toronto-Dominion is one of Canada's two largest banks and operates three business segments: Canadian retail banking, U.S. retail banking, and wholesale banking. The bank's U.S. operations span from Maine to Florida, with a strong presence in the Northeast. It also has a 13% ownership stake in Charles Schwab.
Read more on TD →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →