Compare Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) vs Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Price & Performance

TD stock trades at $120.53, down 2.48% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent earnings beats. The company reported strong Q1 2026 EPS of $1.74, beating expectations of $1.63, continuing a pattern of positive surprises. Revenue growth remains steady, climbing from $56.3B in 2024 to $61.3B in 2025. Analyst consensus is bullish with a $153 price target, though technical indicators show mixed signals with RSI neutral and ADX suggesting weakening trend strength.

TD presents a compelling value opportunity with a P/E of 20.08 and strong profitability metrics including 23.38% net income margin. However, investors face risks from volatile cash flow patterns and increasing debt-to-asset ratios. The stock's 27% upside to analyst targets and consistent dividend payments provide support, but macroeconomic sensitivity and regulatory scrutiny require careful monitoring.

Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $29.27, down 0.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but improving fundamentals. The company reported a net income of $53.60 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses. Recent news highlights AI-driven lending growth and a $600 million funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though quarterly earnings have been mixed with a recent miss in Q1 2026.

The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, supported by analyst consensus targets near $42.00 but challenged by volatile cash flows and rising debt. Key risks include execution on new loan products and macroeconomic sensitivity, while institutional sentiment remains divided with a 45% buy rating. Near-term direction hinges on Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026.