Compare Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (SPXL) vs Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (TMF) Price & Performance

SPXL, a leveraged ETF tracking the S&P 500, trades at $293.05, down 1.28% on the day. Technical indicators show a bullish trend with strong moving average support, though oscillators remain neutral. The ETF reflects broader market sentiment where S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 35% in 2026 (24/7 Wall Street, 2026-10-03), yet concerns about profit growth slowing to 15% in 2027 and high concentration in top holdings create uncertainty.

The outlook for SPXL is tied to S&P 500 performance, with Wall Street projecting a 21% rise to 9,275 by September 2027 (The Motley Fool, 2026-09-30). Key risks include market volatility, geopolitical tensions, and slowing earnings growth. Opportunities lie in seasonal bullish trends and AI-driven corporate spending, but leveraged exposure amplifies both gains and losses.

TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $25.92, up 2.73% with elevated volume. Technical indicators show a bearish trend from moving averages while oscillators are neutral. The stock faces strong resistance at $26-$27 levels with support at $25. Recent trading activity increased 5% to 5.24 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest in long-term Treasury exposure.

As a leveraged Treasury ETF, TMF offers amplified exposure to long-term bond performance but carries significant volatility risk. The bearish technical setup suggests near-term pressure, while the neutral RSI indicates potential for stabilization. Investors should monitor interest rate trends and Federal Reserve policy as primary drivers of performance.