Compare Shopify Inc. (SHOP) vs Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Price & Performance

Shopify (SHOP) trades at $149.19, down 3.86% over 24 hours, but maintains a bullish technical outlook with strong moving average signals. The company reported robust Q2 2026 earnings, beating EPS estimates with 30%+ GMV growth, while revenue reached $11.56 billion in 2025. Analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with 65.6% recommending Buy and a consensus price target of $166.39.

Outlook remains favorable driven by AI commerce integration and expanding payments, but high valuation multiples (P/E 103.11) pose risks if growth slows. Key supports include operational cash flow growth to $2.03 billion in 2025, though competition and macroeconomic pressures require monitoring for sustained upside.

Upstart trades at $29.23, down 3.24% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent Q2 2026 earnings beat showing 42% revenue growth and return to GAAP profitability. The stock faces valuation compression concerns with a P/E of 57.48, while analyst consensus remains divided with a $47.20 price target suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.

The outlook balances strong AI-driven loan origination growth against persistent earnings misses and negative cash flow from operations. Key risks include high short interest at 27% and sensitivity to interest rate environment, though institutional sentiment appears cautiously optimistic given the 45% buy rating distribution.