Redwire Corporation vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Redwire Corporation trades at $9.02 (market cap $2.25B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $28.65 (market cap $2.80B). The key difference: Upstart Holdings Inc is the larger of the two by market cap, and Redwire Corporation is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| RDW | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.25B | $2.80B |
Sector | Technology | Financials |
52-Week High | $25.90 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $5.06 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $2.31B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Redwire (RDW) trades at $8.60, down 1.78% with a bearish technical signal despite oversold RSI readings. The company shows strong revenue growth potential with a record $492 million backlog and a 1.92 book-to-bill ratio, but faces significant profitability challenges with a net income margin of -80.9% and consecutive earnings misses. Recent expansions in Indiana and Alabama highlight operational growth amid substantial cash burn from operations.
The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity with an 80% analyst buy rating and a $19.00 consensus price target implying over 120% upside. However, persistent losses, negative cash flow from operations, and potential dilution from a $500 million ATM offering pose substantial risks to near-term shareholder value.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $29.27, down 0.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but improving fundamentals. The company reported a net income of $53.60 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses. Recent news highlights AI-driven lending growth and a $600 million funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though quarterly earnings have been mixed with a recent miss in Q1 2026.
The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, supported by analyst consensus targets near $42.00 but challenged by volatile cash flows and rising debt. Key risks include execution on new loan products and macroeconomic sensitivity, while institutional sentiment remains divided with a 45% buy rating. Near-term direction hinges on Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Redwire Corporation is a pure-play space infrastructure company that provides a wide range of advanced solutions for the next generation of space exploration and utilization. The company's capabilities span critical space technology, including on-orbit servicing, satellite components, space robotics, and digital engineering. Redwire's products and services are used by civil, commercial, and national security customers to enable missions from low Earth orbit to deep space.
Read more on RDW →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →