Progressive Corp vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Progressive Corp trades at $216.26 (market cap $124.88B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $26.01 (market cap $2.63B). The key difference: Progressive Corp is far larger — about 47.5× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Progressive Corp pays a 0.19% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| PGR | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $124.88B | $2.63B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $248.80 | $68.11 |
52-Week Low | $190.40 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $133.09B | — |
Dividend Yield | 0.19% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Progressive (PGR) trades at $214.90, down 1.85% on the day, with a bearish technical signal and neutral oscillators. The stock shows strong fundamentals with a P/E of 10.78, net income margin of 12.85%, and consistent revenue growth from $49.6B in 2022 to $87.6B in 2025. Recent earnings beat expectations in Q2 2026, but Q1 2026 missed. News highlights competition in auto insurance and institutional buying, while July 2026 earnings declined year-over-year due to expenses.
The outlook is mixed: valuation appears attractive with growth potential, but technical weakness and competitive pressures pose risks. Analyst consensus is a buy with a $231.18 price target, though hold ratings dominate at 52.38%. Key risks include expense management and market volatility, while institutional accumulation supports sentiment.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $26.98, down 3.81% on the day, reflecting bearish technical momentum and recent earnings misses. The stock shows oversold conditions with an RSI of 18.98, while fundamentals indicate a turnaround with 2025 net income of $53.60M on $1.02B revenue, marking its first annual profit. Analyst sentiment is mixed with a 45.46% buy rating and $47.20 consensus target, but insider selling and weak cash flow from operations pose concerns.
The outlook hinges on execution in personal loan growth and AI lending efficiency, but risks include high debt-to-asset ratio of 61.48% and macroeconomic sensitivity. Near-term resistance at $28 challenges upside, while support at $26 may stabilize declines if earnings improve in Q3 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines
Read more on PGR →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →