Novavax Inc vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Novavax Inc trades at $8.11 (market cap $1.30B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.37 (market cap $2.76B). The key difference: Upstart Holdings Inc is far larger — about 2.1× Novavax Inc's market cap, and Novavax Inc is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| NVAX | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $1.30B | $2.76B |
Sector | Health | Financials |
52-Week High | $11.19 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $6.22 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $800.50M | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Novavax (NVAX) trades at $8.08, down 1.64% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but strong recent earnings beats. The company reported $1.12B revenue in 2025 with a net income of $440.30M, though 2026 projections show a return to losses. Analyst consensus is bullish with a $14.00 price target, but negative shareholder equity and cash flow concerns persist.
Outlook remains mixed: strong valuation ratios and analyst support suggest upside potential, but negative cash flows, high liabilities, and projected 2026 losses pose significant risks. Investor sentiment is cautious amid recent stock declines and shareholder dissent highlighted in recent news.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $29.27, down 0.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but improving fundamentals. The company reported a net income of $53.60 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses. Recent news highlights AI-driven lending growth and a $600 million funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though quarterly earnings have been mixed with a recent miss in Q1 2026.
The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, supported by analyst consensus targets near $42.00 but challenged by volatile cash flows and rising debt. Key risks include execution on new loan products and macroeconomic sensitivity, while institutional sentiment remains divided with a 45% buy rating. Near-term direction hinges on Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Novavax, Inc. is a clinical stage biotechnology company. The Company creates novel vaccines to address a broad range of infectious diseases worldwide using proprietary virus-like particle (VLP) technology.
Read more on NVAX →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
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