NRG Energy Inc vs Vistra Corp — how do they compare? NRG Energy Inc trades at $122.63 (market cap $24.83B), while Vistra Corp trades at $147.04 (market cap $48.64B). The key difference: Vistra Corp is the larger of the two by market cap, and NRG Energy Inc pays the higher dividend (1.61%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| NRG | VST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $24.83B | $48.64B |
Sector | Utilities | Technology |
52-Week High | $184.03 | $217.92 |
52-Week Low | $117.04 | $134.71 |
Enterprise Value | $48.79B | $70.58B |
Dividend Yield | 1.61% | 0.63% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
NRG Energy trades at $118.91, down 0.66% today, with a bearish technical signal. Recent Q2 2026 earnings missed estimates, but revenue grew 11% year-over-year. The company is expanding with a 1.2 GW Texas data-center power project, targeting long-term EBITDA growth. Valuation metrics show a P/E of 30.76 and P/S of 0.72, with strong ROE at 26.77% but modest net income margin of 2.56%. Cash flow trends are volatile, with 2025 net cash flow at $3.83B but a projected decline in 2026.
Outlook: Growth driven by data-center demand and strategic acquisitions offers upside, but high debt and earnings misses pose risks. Analyst consensus is bullish with a $207.83 price target, though technical weakness and rising interest costs require caution. Key opportunities include hyperscaler partnerships, while risks involve leverage and execution challenges.
VST trades at $147.54, up 3.27% today, with strong analyst support (90.9% buy ratings) and a $239.75 consensus price target suggesting 62% upside. Recent Q2 2026 earnings showed mixed results with an EPS miss but 30% EBITDA growth to $1.77 billion, driven by data center demand. Technical indicators are bearish with support at $141, while fundamentals show robust profitability (11.55% net margin) offset by high valuation multiples (P/E 24.44).
The outlook remains positive given Vistra's positioning in the AI-powered data center boom, though risks include ERCOT pricing volatility and hedging losses. With institutional ownership stable and dividend payments consistent, the stock offers growth exposure to electricity demand trends, but investors should monitor execution on 2026 guidance and competitive pressures in the utility sector.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the U.S., with 7 million customers, including its 2021 acquisition of Direct Energy. It also is one of the largest U.S. independent power producers, with 16 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. Since 2018, NRG has divested its 47% stake in NRG Yield, among other renewable energy and conventional generation investments. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
Read more on NRG →Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company that serves as a critical infrastructure provider for the digital economy. It operates a diversified portfolio of zero-carbon nuclear and renewable assets alongside a massive, flexible natural gas fleet, positioning it as an indispensable partner for energy-intensive AI data centers and industrial electrification.
Read more on VST →