Match Group Inc vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Match Group Inc trades at $36.82 (market cap $8.43B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.9 (market cap $2.94B). The key difference: Match Group Inc is far larger — about 2.9× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Match Group Inc pays a 2.18% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| MTCH | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $8.43B | $2.94B |
Sector | Media | Financials |
52-Week High | $41.24 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $28.90 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $11.40B | — |
Dividend Yield | 2.18% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
MTCH trades at $37.26, up 1.78% on the day, with a bearish technical signal and neutral oscillators. The stock shows mixed earnings performance, beating Q2 2026 EPS estimates but missing on revenue, as Tinder faces headwinds while Hinge grows. Strong profitability is evident with a 74.8% gross margin and 20.17% net income margin, though high debt levels remain a concern. Recent news highlights institutional buying interest amid ongoing business transformation.
The outlook is cautiously optimistic, supported by a consensus price target of $42.33 (13.6% upside) and no sell ratings. Key opportunities include Hinge's international expansion and Tinder's turnaround potential, but risks involve execution challenges, competitive pressures, and significant leverage. Earnings growth remains the primary catalyst for valuation re-rating.
Upstart (UPST) trades at $31.09, up 4.64% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 42% year-over-year and a return to GAAP profitability, with loan originations surging 50%. However, it has missed EPS expectations for three consecutive quarters. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $47.20, implying significant upside, but faces headwinds from high interest rates and competitive pressures.
The outlook is mixed: strong loan growth and AI-driven underwriting improvements offer growth potential, but recent earnings misses, a high P/E ratio of 59.79, and negative operating cash flow in 2025 pose risks. Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with 45% of analysts rating it a Buy, though volatility from macroeconomic factors remains a key concern for shareholders.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Match Group is a provider of online dating products. The firm became public in 2015 and was more than 80% owned by IAC/InterActiveCorp until IAC spun it off in the second quarter of 2020. The company has a vast portfolio of different online dating service providers, including Tinder, Match.com, OkCupid, Plenty of Fish, and Meetic. Match Group has more than 45 brands of online dating sites and/or apps, from which it generates user fee revenue (95%) and advertising revenue (5%).
Read more on MTCH →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →