Marathon Petroleum Corp vs Vistra Corp — how do they compare? Marathon Petroleum Corp trades at $400.63 (market cap $111.70B), while Vistra Corp trades at $151.13 (market cap $50.11B). The key difference: Marathon Petroleum Corp is far larger — about 2.2× Vistra Corp's market cap, and Marathon Petroleum Corp pays the higher dividend (1.01%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| MPC | VST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $111.70B | $50.11B |
Sector | Energy | Technology |
52-Week High | $399.44 | $217.92 |
52-Week Low | $162.63 | $134.71 |
Enterprise Value | $138.23B | $72.05B |
Dividend Yield | 1.01% | 0.62% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at $397.77, up 2.28% today and near its 52-week high, with a bullish technical outlook from moving averages and strong momentum. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with Q2 2026 EPS of $17.73 surpassing the $14.27 forecast. Valuation ratios appear attractive with a P/E of 13.79 and P/S of 0.77, while profitability metrics like a 47.9% ROE highlight efficient capital use. Recent news emphasizes refinery investments and benefits from geopolitical energy risks.
The outlook for MPC is positive, driven by robust earnings performance, favorable refining margins, and strong analyst support with 26 buy ratings. Key opportunities include high-return projects and cash flow growth, with 2026 net income projected at $8.6B. Risks involve exposure to oil price volatility, cyclical demand, and rising debt-to-asset ratios, which increased to 42.59% in 2025. Investors should weigh solid fundamentals against sector-specific headwinds.
Vistra Corp. (VST) trades at $151.72, up 1.62% today, with a bullish technical signal and strong analyst support. The stock shows mixed quarterly earnings but projects significant revenue and net income growth into 2026. Recent news highlights CEO and institutional buying, long-term power agreements with tech giants, and a consensus price target of $228.40, suggesting substantial upside potential from current levels.
The outlook is positive, driven by robust power demand, strategic partnerships, and a diversified generation fleet. Key risks include regulatory uncertainty and earnings volatility. With 91% of analysts rating it a buy and insider confidence, VST presents a compelling opportunity for growth-oriented investors, though market fluctuations and execution risks warrant caution.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, ND, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, CA, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed MLP, MPLX.
Read more on MPC →Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company that serves as a critical infrastructure provider for the digital economy. It operates a diversified portfolio of zero-carbon nuclear and renewable assets alongside a massive, flexible natural gas fleet, positioning it as an indispensable partner for energy-intensive AI data centers and industrial electrification.
Read more on VST →