Marathon Petroleum Corp vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Marathon Petroleum Corp trades at $318.36 (market cap $92.05B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.34 (market cap $2.76B). The key difference: Marathon Petroleum Corp is far larger — about 33.4× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Marathon Petroleum Corp pays a 1.24% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| MPC | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $92.05B | $2.76B |
Sector | Energy | Financials |
52-Week High | $315.31 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $158.59 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $124.23B | — |
Dividend Yield | 1.24% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at $319.76, up 2.29% with strong technical momentum and bullish moving average signals. The stock shows robust fundamentals with a 27.92% ROE and 3.42% net margin, though revenue has declined from $177.5B in 2022 to $132.7B in 2025. Recent earnings beat expectations in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, while analyst consensus remains strongly bullish with 25 buy ratings and a $292.70 price target. The company benefits from strong refining margins and strategic upgrades driving profitability.
MPC presents a compelling investment case with strong profitability metrics and positive analyst sentiment, though investors should monitor declining revenue trends and elevated debt levels. The stock's current price near resistance levels suggests potential for consolidation, while refining margin advantages and limited Russian capacity create tailwinds. Key risks include oil price volatility and macroeconomic pressures on energy demand.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) trades at $29.27, down 0.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but improving fundamentals. The company reported a net income of $53.60 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from prior losses. Recent news highlights AI-driven lending growth and a $600 million funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though quarterly earnings have been mixed with a recent miss in Q1 2026.
The stock presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, supported by analyst consensus targets near $42.00 but challenged by volatile cash flows and rising debt. Key risks include execution on new loan products and macroeconomic sensitivity, while institutional sentiment remains divided with a 45% buy rating. Near-term direction hinges on Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, ND, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, CA, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed MLP, MPLX.
Read more on MPC →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →