Marathon Petroleum Corp vs Progressive Corp — how do they compare? Marathon Petroleum Corp trades at $336.34 (market cap $89.95B), while Progressive Corp trades at $212.29 (market cap $124.38B). The key difference: Progressive Corp is the larger of the two by market cap, and Progressive Corp pays the higher dividend (6.5%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| MPC | PGR | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $89.95B | $124.38B |
Sector | Energy | Financials |
52-Week High | $320.32 | $252.68 |
52-Week Low | $158.59 | $190.40 |
Enterprise Value | $116.48B | $132.59B |
Dividend Yield | 1.25% | 6.5% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) trades at $298.20, down 0.35% with a bearish technical signal despite strong fundamental performance. The stock shows exceptional earnings momentum with three consecutive quarterly beats, including a massive Q2 2026 EPS of $17.73 versus $14.27 expected. Valuation remains attractive with P/E of 10.34 and EV/EBITDA of 6.26, while maintaining robust profitability with 47.9% ROE.
MPC presents a compelling investment case with strong analyst support (76% buy ratings) and $330.70 price target upside. However, declining revenue trends from $177.5B in 2022 to $132.7B in 2025 and rising debt-to-asset ratio to 42.59% pose fundamental concerns. Technical weakness near pivot point resistance at $297 requires monitoring despite positive refining margin outlook.
Progressive (PGR) trades at $215.33, showing minimal daily change. The stock exhibits a bullish technical trend with strong moving average signals, while oscillators remain neutral. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates robust revenue growth, rising from $49.6B in 2022 to $87.6B in 2025, with net income reaching $11.3B. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations at $4.85 EPS, though Q1 2026 slightly missed. The current P/E ratio of 10.8 suggests reasonable valuation relative to earnings strength.
The outlook for PGR remains positive with a consensus price target of $231.20, indicating potential upside. Key opportunities include expanding bundled insurance offerings and solid profitability metrics like 34.94% ROE. Risks involve competitive pressures in auto insurance and potential margin compression from growth investments. Analyst sentiment is mixed with 36.59% buy ratings, reflecting cautious optimism amid execution challenges.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, ND, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, CA, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed MLP, MPLX.
Read more on MPC →Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines
Read more on PGR →