CarMax, Inc vs Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares — how do they compare? CarMax, Inc trades at $58.03 (market cap $8.34B), while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.94. The key difference: CarMax, Inc is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| KMX | TMF | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $8.34B | — |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $62.17 | $44.14 |
52-Week Low | $30.88 | $30.59 |
Enterprise Value | $26.85B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CarMax (KMX) trades at $58.18, up 0.21% today, with a bullish technical signal supported by moving averages. The stock shows mixed earnings performance, beating expectations in Q3 2025 and Q1 2026 but missing in Q2 2025. Revenue has declined from $31.9B in 2022 to $26.35B in 2025, while net income margin improved slightly to 1.89%. Recent news includes partnerships to enhance customer experience and ongoing legal investigations into fiduciary duties.
Outlook is cautious with a consensus price target of $53.09 below the current price, indicating potential downside. Opportunities lie in operational improvements and AI integrations, but risks include high debt, competitive pressures, and legal scrutiny. Analyst sentiment is neutral with 68.58% hold ratings, suggesting wait-and-see approach amid volatility.
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.
The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CarMax sells, finances, and services used and new cars through a chain of over 230 used retail stores. It was formed in 1993 as a unit of Circuit City and spun off into an independent company in late 2002. Used-vehicle sales typically account for about 83% of revenue and wholesale about 13%, with the remaining portion composed of extended service plans and repair. In fiscal 2022, the company retailed and wholesaled 924,338 and 706,212 used vehicles, respectively. CarMax is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the U.S. but still estimates that it has only about 4% U.S. market share of vehicles 0-10 years old in 2021. It seeks over 5% share by the end of calendar 2025 and revenue between $33 billion to $45 billion by fiscal 2026. CarMax is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Read more on KMX →TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →