KeyCorp vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? KeyCorp trades at $22.96 (market cap $25.17B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.57 (market cap $2.76B). The key difference: KeyCorp is far larger — about 9.1× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and KeyCorp pays a 3.52% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| KEY | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $25.17B | $2.76B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $23.99 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $16.78 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 3.52% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
KeyCorp (KEY) trades at $23.26, down 1.23% on the day, with a bullish technical signal supported by moving averages. The company has beaten earnings estimates for three consecutive quarters, with Q2 2026 results pending. Strong fundamentals include a 26.05% net income margin and 10.61% ROE, while valuation metrics show a P/E of 14.45 and P/B of 1.45. Recent corporate actions include consistent quarterly dividends of $0.21 per share and a new $3 billion buyback program announced in July 2026.
KEY presents a compelling investment case with analyst consensus pointing to significant upside (price target $30.50, 31% potential). The combination of earnings momentum, shareholder-friendly capital returns, and improving loan growth supports bullish sentiment. However, risks include potential pressure on net interest margins from Fed policy and competitive challenges in regional banking. The stock's current valuation appears reasonable relative to earnings growth prospects.
Upstart Holdings trades at $28.68, down 2.81% on the day, with a bearish technical signal but oversold RSI levels. The company reported a net income of $53.60M in 2025, a significant improvement from prior losses, though recent Q1 2026 earnings missed expectations. Revenue growth to $1.02B in 2025 and expanding AI lending platform into auto and home loans highlight operational progress.
The stock presents a recovery opportunity with analyst consensus target of $42.00, but faces risks from volatile earnings, high debt levels, and margin pressure. Investor sentiment is mixed amid ongoing execution challenges in a competitive fintech landscape.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
With assets of over $170 billion, Ohio-based KeyCorp's bank footprint spans 16 states, but it is predominantly concentrated in its two largest markets: Ohio and New York. KeyCorp is primarily focused on serving middle-market commercial clients through a hybrid community/corporate bank model.
Read more on KEY →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →