Compare International Business Machines Corp (IBM) vs Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Price & Performance

IBM trades at $233.94, down 1.0% today, as the stock navigates mixed signals. Recent earnings showed a Q2 2026 EPS miss after two consecutive beats, while revenue growth accelerated to $67.54 billion in 2025. Technical indicators show a bullish overall signal but bearish moving averages, with RSI levels suggesting overbought conditions. The company secured a $240 million AI deal with Together AI, but faces securities fraud investigations following a 25% stock drop earlier this year.

IBM presents a complex risk-reward profile with strong profitability metrics (15.52% net margin, 34.62% ROE) and analyst consensus pointing to 10% upside to the $257.38 price target. However, ongoing legal investigations and increased capital expenditures creating negative cash flow pose significant near-term risks. The AI partnership momentum contrasts with concerns about IBM's competitive positioning in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.

UPST trades at $28.97, down 4.1% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent Q2 2026 earnings beating estimates. The company returned to GAAP profitability with 42% revenue growth and 50% loan origination growth, though it has missed earnings expectations in three consecutive quarters. Analyst consensus is divided with a $47.20 price target suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.

The outlook remains mixed with strong AI-driven lending growth offset by high valuation metrics (P/E 57.5) and negative cash flow from operations. Key risks include interest rate sensitivity and competitive pressures in fintech lending, while institutional sentiment shows cautious optimism with 45% buy ratings.