Dollar Tree, Inc. vs State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF — how do they compare? Dollar Tree, Inc. trades at $118.64 (market cap $22.26B), while State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF trades at $84.09 (market cap $389.66M). The key difference: Dollar Tree, Inc. is far larger — about 57.1× State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF's market cap, and Dollar Tree, Inc. is trading nearer its 52-week high, State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals — on Pluang, investors hold Dollar Tree, Inc. for 58 Days and State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF for 45 Days on average.
| DLTR | XRT | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $22.26B | $389.66M |
Volume | 2,317,428 | 4,275,820 |
Sector | Consumer Staples | Broad Market / Factor |
52-Week High | $141.21 | $92.35 |
52-Week Low | $86.80 | $77.28 |
Typical Hold Time | 58 Days | 45 Days |
Enterprise Value | $28.87B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Dollar Tree (DLTR) trades at $118.62, up 1.99% today, with a bullish technical signal and strong earnings beats in recent quarters. The stock shows robust profitability with a 45.87% ROE and trades at a reasonable P/E of 14.54. Recent news highlights strategic initiatives and store expansions driving growth, while net cash flow improved to $754 million in 2025. Analysts maintain a buy consensus with a $139.33 price target, indicating potential upside from current levels.
Outlook is positive due to earnings momentum and value-focused strategy, but risks include margin pressure from tariffs and rising costs. The stock offers growth potential if execution continues, though investors should monitor competitive pressures and economic sensitivity. Institutional buying supports confidence, but volatility near resistance at $120 requires caution.
XRT (SPDR S&P Retail ETF) trades at $84.09, up 1.42% with a bullish technical signal despite mixed moving averages. The ETF faces headwinds from higher interest rates and inflation impacting consumer sentiment, with Seeking Alpha noting underperformance against IVV year-to-date. Recent retail sales data shows volatility, with August rebounding 1.2% after July's unexpected 0.6% decline, creating uncertainty for the retail sector outlook.
The retail ETF's performance hinges on consumer resilience amid economic pressures, with holiday sales projections exceeding $1 trillion offering potential upside. However, persistent inflation and rate concerns present significant risks, while technical indicators show overbought conditions with RSI at 84.45 suggesting near-term caution.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 8,647 shops under its namesake banner and 8,016 Family Dollar units (as of the end of fiscal 2021). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Around 45% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2021 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and just over 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2021 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 8% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.
Read more on DLTR →XRT is an equal-weighted ETF that tracks the U.S. retail sector. It provides diversified exposure to apparel, automotive, and online retailers, including well-known names like Amazon, Target, and Costco.
Read more on XRT →