Dollar Tree, Inc. vs State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF — how do they compare? Dollar Tree, Inc. trades at $129.2 (market cap $24.86B), while State Street PDR S&P Retail ETF trades at $89.79. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| DLTR | XRT | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $24.86B | — |
Sector | Health | Broad Market / Factor |
52-Week High | $141.21 | $92.35 |
52-Week Low | $85.04 | $77.28 |
Enterprise Value | $31.45B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Dollar Tree (DLTR) trades at $130.9, up 0.94% on the day, with a bullish technical outlook and strong profitability metrics including a 34.71% ROE. Recent quarters have consistently beaten EPS estimates, and the company announced a $2.5 billion share repurchase authorization in July 2026. Revenue for 2025 was $17.58 billion, though net income was negative due to a significant tax charge, with a rebound to profitability projected for 2026.
The stock presents a mixed outlook: analyst consensus is a 'Buy' with a $129.08 price target near the current price, supported by solid cash flow and margin improvements. Key risks include competitive pressures, tariff impacts on margins, and execution of the turnaround strategy amid consumer spending shifts.
XRT trades at $90.82, up 1.08% with a bullish technical signal supported by moving averages. The ETF shows neutral oscillators like RSI at 57.83, while ADX indicates a strong trend. Support lies at $90 and resistance at $91. Recent retail sales growth and positive economic data provide a favorable backdrop, though sentiment is mixed amid inflation concerns.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic with retail sector momentum, but risks include consumer sentiment pressures and valuation headwinds. The ETF's diversification offers stability, yet macroeconomic shifts could impact performance. Investors should weigh technical strength against fundamental uncertainties in the retail space.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 8,647 shops under its namesake banner and 8,016 Family Dollar units (as of the end of fiscal 2021). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Around 45% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2021 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and just over 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2021 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 8% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.
Read more on DLTR →XRT is an equal-weighted ETF that tracks the U.S. retail sector. It provides diversified exposure to apparel, automotive, and online retailers, including well-known names like Amazon, Target, and Costco.
Read more on XRT →