Dollar Tree, Inc. vs Progressive Corp — how do they compare? Dollar Tree, Inc. trades at $127.65 (market cap $24.86B), while Progressive Corp trades at $212.5 (market cap $124.38B). The key difference: Progressive Corp is far larger — about 5× Dollar Tree, Inc.'s market cap, and Progressive Corp pays a 6.5% dividend while Dollar Tree, Inc. pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| DLTR | PGR | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $24.86B | $124.38B |
Sector | Health | Financials |
52-Week High | $141.21 | $252.68 |
52-Week Low | $85.04 | $190.40 |
Enterprise Value | $31.45B | $132.59B |
Dividend Yield | — | 6.5% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Dollar Tree (DLTR) trades at $130.9, up 0.94% on the day, with a bullish technical outlook and strong profitability metrics including a 34.71% ROE. Recent quarters have consistently beaten EPS estimates, and the company announced a $2.5 billion share repurchase authorization in July 2026. Revenue for 2025 was $17.58 billion, though net income was negative due to a significant tax charge, with a rebound to profitability projected for 2026.
The stock presents a mixed outlook: analyst consensus is a 'Buy' with a $129.08 price target near the current price, supported by solid cash flow and margin improvements. Key risks include competitive pressures, tariff impacts on margins, and execution of the turnaround strategy amid consumer spending shifts.
Progressive (PGR) trades at $215.33, showing minimal daily change. The stock exhibits a bullish technical trend with strong moving average signals, while oscillators remain neutral. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates robust revenue growth, rising from $49.6B in 2022 to $87.6B in 2025, with net income reaching $11.3B. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations at $4.85 EPS, though Q1 2026 slightly missed. The current P/E ratio of 10.8 suggests reasonable valuation relative to earnings strength.
The outlook for PGR remains positive with a consensus price target of $231.20, indicating potential upside. Key opportunities include expanding bundled insurance offerings and solid profitability metrics like 34.94% ROE. Risks involve competitive pressures in auto insurance and potential margin compression from growth investments. Analyst sentiment is mixed with 36.59% buy ratings, reflecting cautious optimism amid execution challenges.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Dollar Tree operates discount stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 8,647 shops under its namesake banner and 8,016 Family Dollar units (as of the end of fiscal 2021). The eponymous chain features branded and private-label goods, generally at a $1.25 price. Around 45% of Dollar Tree stores' fiscal 2021 sales came from consumables (including food, health and beauty, and household paper and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and housewares), and just over 5% from seasonal goods. Family Dollar features branded and private-label goods at prices generally ranging from $1 to $10, with over 76% of fiscal 2021 sales from consumables, 9% from seasonal/electronic items (including prepaid phones and toys), 8% from home products, and 6% from apparel and accessories.
Read more on DLTR →Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines
Read more on PGR →