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Jefferies cuts Valero price target amid concerns over refining profit sustainability.

Analyst Insights
08 Oct 2026
Gordon Thompson
View Source
Bearish
Jefferies cuts Valero price target amid concerns over refining profit sustainability.

Jefferies has lowered its price target for Valero to $394 from $401, about 11.3% below the current stock price of $443.96. Despite Valero's strong profitability supported by access to cheaper crude, a solid balance sheet, and robust refining margins, concerns remain about whether these profits can be sustained if commodity prices and refining margins normalize. Valero trades at a higher EV/EBITDA ratio than the industry average, reflecting investor willingness to pay a premium based on current conditions. Analysts caution that if market conditions revert to typical levels, Valero's earnings and stock performance could face pressure.

As of Oct 09, 2026 20:13 WIB, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) trades on Pluang at USD 442.50, slightly down 0.29% for the day. The stock shows strong investor interest with 84% of order activity on the buy side and a market capitalization of $127.78 billion. Valero's enterprise value stands at $131.26 billion, highlighting its significant scale in the energy sector.

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