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Tokyo Electron eyes 29% growth by shifting focus to advanced semiconductor tech despite China sales drop

Analyst Insights
10 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Tokyo Electron eyes 29% growth by shifting focus to advanced semiconductor tech despite China sales drop

Tokyo Electron holds dominant market shares in semiconductor equipment, especially in coaters/developers. Despite a decline in sales from China, the company is reallocating resources to growth areas like etching, wafer bonding, and EUV-related equipment. The semiconductor market is expected to reach $1 trillion by 2030, with wafer fabrication equipment markets growing significantly by 2026-2027. The analyst values Tokyo Electron at around $220 per share, suggesting a 29% upside and recommends buying with a gradual position build and partial hedging, while noting risks such as weaker AI demand or slower market share gains.

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