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S&P 500 nears highs with strong corporate profits and AI investments hinting 20%+ returns ahead

Market News
12 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
S&P 500 nears highs with strong corporate profits and AI investments hinting 20%+ returns ahead

The S&P 500 is trading near all-time highs despite weak market breadth, as sectors sensitive to interest rates have already priced in 5.25% Treasury yields. Historically, the S&P 500 has never posted negative returns 12 months after US midterm elections, with an average gain of 16.6%. Corporate profits hit a record $4.83 trillion in Q2 2026, representing nearly 15% of GDP, and 62% of companies raised future earnings guidance. Additionally, US firms authorized a record $1.33 trillion in share buybacks this year, supported by massive cumulative AI investments totaling $5.3-5.8 trillion. These factors suggest a bullish outlook with potential returns exceeding 20%, driven by strong earnings, midterm election tailwinds, and AI-driven growth.

Regarding the S&P 500 and midterm election outlook, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026 19:13 WIB: Of 150 priced US stocks tradable on Pluang, 77 rose and 66 fell today. Notable movers include BIDU at USD 83.38 with a -2.29% change, MU at USD 1,006.80 with a -2.16% change, and SOFI at USD 15.48 with a -2.03% change. The most notable figure is MU's price of USD 1,006.80.

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