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Bitcoin's 30% drop predicted 8 months early by Fed liquidity gauge tied to Treasury bill issuance.

Market News
12 Jul 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Bearish
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Bitcoin peaked at $126,000 in October 2025 before dropping over 30% to around $80,000 by December. Crypto market maker Keyrock linked this decline to a liquidity signal based on net U.S. Treasury bill issuance, showing an 8-month lag between Treasury spending and Bitcoin returns. As of June 2026, this liquidity impulse had fallen significantly, aligning with Bitcoin's lower price and market fear. Investors now watch the July 14 CPI data and upcoming Fed meetings for clues on future Bitcoin moves.

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