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Amazon's AWS growth fuels bullish outlook; shares could hit $500 by 2030 despite recent stock lag.

Analyst Insights
08 Sep 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
Amazon's AWS growth fuels bullish outlook; shares could hit $500 by 2030 despite recent stock lag.

Amazon's AWS division posted its fastest growth in 18 quarters, driving a bullish outlook despite the stock lagging the S&P 500. The company is investing heavily in capex, with $200 billion planned for 2026, causing near-term cash flow concerns and stock price pressure. Analysts remain optimistic, projecting a 27% to 38% upside in the next year, with a long-term target of $500 per share by 2030 if AWS growth continues above 30%, free cash flow improves, and advertising plus custom silicon boost margins. The main risk is AI demand slowing, which could impact returns on the massive capex investments.

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